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Ebook Evidence on the profitability of credit card arbitrage

Many banks offer credit card balance transactions with low, or no interest rates. The balances can generally be transferred to pay off another card or transferred directly into a checking account. These introductory low interest rate offers are intended as an enticement for individuals to open an account with the financial institution or to transfer their balance to a lower interest rate credit card.

The low interest rate offers generally apply to an introductory period and have an up-front fee. The introductory time period is typically anywhere from three months to eighteen months. Other promotions offer the introductory rate until the balance is paid off. Still other promotions offer perquisites, such as frequent flier miles, for each dollar transferred to their affiliated credit card. Some promotions require the cardholder to make a purchase to receive the special rate.

PDF Ebook The Basic Analytics of Access to Financial Services

Access to financial services, or rather the lack thereof, is often indiscriminately decried as problem in many developing countries. This paper argues that the —problem of access“ should rather be analyzed by identifying different demand and supply constraints. We use the concept of an access possibilities frontier, drawn for a given set of state variables, to distinguish between cases where a financial system settles below the constrained optimum, cases where this constrained optimum is too low, and–in credit services–cases where the observed outcome is excessively high. We distinguish between payment and savings services and fixed intermediation costs, on the one hand, and lending services and different sources of credit risk, on the other hand. We include both supply and demand side frictions that can lead to lower access. The analysis helps identify bankable and banked population, the binding constraint to close the gap between the two, and policies to prudently expand the bankable population. This new conceptual framework can inform the debate on adequate policies to expand access to financial services and can serve as basis for an informed measurement of access.

Access to financial services or outreach of the financial system has become a major concern for many policymakers in developing countries. While the use of financial services measured as having deposit accounts with banks–reaches over 90% in most high-income countries, in many low- and even middle-income countries the use of formal financial services is still restricted to a small number of firms and households (Peachey and Roe, 2004; Beck, Demirguc-Kunt and Martinez Peria, 2005). Moreover, the intense financial sector reforms undertaken by many emerging economies over the past decade–doing away with interest rate controls and directed credit, liberalizing entry and privatizing state-owned banks–have not led to the type of broadening of access to financial services that was initially expected, particularly for lower-income households and small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs).

Ebook Survival Analysis and Individual Trading Behavior

How long do investors typically hold stock positions? In an investor has held a stock for three months, is she equally likely to sell the stock next Monday as she is to sell the stock two Mondays from now? How can financial econometricians incorporate holding times into studies of investor decision making and investor behavior?

To answer the three questions posed above, we use survival time (hazard rate) analysis. Not only does this econometric technique allow us to account for the time dimension inherent in an individual’s stock trades, it allows us to carry out cross-sectional comparisons that are not possible with previously used techniques. Our analysis shows that the conditional probability of a sale is not constant over time. Thus, most studies of investors’ decisions to buy, hold, and then sell financial assets need to account for holding times.

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